Timothy´s picks
Betting is great, but it is so damn unpredictable...
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Tuesday, December 19th, 2006 16:45
Ice Hockey - NHL
Pick:  Pittsburgh   Result: Not registered
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.75  Verified odd Bookmaker:  EXPEKT   vCash: Yes
Posted: Dec 19, 2006, 02:31






Pittsburgh are for me clear favourite in this match, despite St. Louis showed some potential in the last two matches, both against Nashville. Penguins lost their last match away against hot Montreal, which wasn´t surprising, but tonight they will find their winning ways back. St. Louis are very bad on the road, they won only three out of fifteen away matches. The Blues will try for fifth time to grab the first win under new coach Andy Murray, but Crosby, Malkin and Co. with their offensive style are too much for the Blues at the moment.






Odense - Horsens    +5.13
Sunday, October 15th, 2006 08:00
Football - Denmark
Pick:  Odense   Result: 2-0
Stake:  9/10   Odds:  1.57  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Nordicbet   vCash: No
Posted: Oct 15, 2006, 01:43











Sunday, October 15th, 2006 11:00
Ice Hockey - Austria
Pick:  Villach   Result: 2-1
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  1.85  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Sportingbet   vCash: No
Posted: Oct 15, 2006, 01:37











Sunday, October 08th, 2006 01:00
Ice Hockey - Germany
Pick:  Köln   Result: 2-1
Stake:  7/10   Odds:  2.15  Verified odd Bookmaker:  CENTREBET   vCash: No
Posted: Oct 08, 2006, 00:48











Friday, September 22nd, 2006 12:00
Football - Austria
Pick:  LASK Linz   Result: 1-0
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  1.85  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: Yes
Posted: Sep 21, 2006, 23:30






LASK lost at Lustenau but they are just a point behind leader Schwanenstadt. The match report says it was an unlucky defeat. Now they have to proove their home strength (4-0-1) and beat the strugling Kapfenberg. Kapfenberg have only 2 points, all away matches lost:

Sep 15, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Austria Lustenau Kapfenberg 2 - 1
Aug 29, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Karnten Kapfenberg 3 - 1
Aug 18, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Parndorf Kapfenberg 3 - 1
Aug 11, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga FC Lustenau Kapfenberg 5 - 4
Aug 01, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Gratkorn Kapfenberg 5 - 1

It is the same situation as against Kärnten: home team angry cause of last defeat, and Kapfenberg has to pay for it.

Missings:

LASK - Gerhard Fellner and Jürgen Panis
Kapfenberg - not yet known

GL






Friday, September 22nd, 2006 12:00
Football - Austria
Pick:  OVER 2,5   Result: 1-1
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  1.60  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Sportingbet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Sep 21, 2006, 23:12






Very simple reasons for an over. We have just to look at the records of both teams in this campaign:

Sep 19, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Gratkorn Parndorf 3 - 1
Sep 08, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Gratkorn LASK 0 - 2
Aug 25, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Gratkorn Austria Lustenau 3 - 1
Aug 11, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Gratkorn Karnten 3 - 0
Aug 01, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Gratkorn Kapfenberg 5 - 1

Sep 15, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga LASK Admira 6 - 1
Aug 29, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Austria Lustenau Admira 2 - 2
Aug 18, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Karnten Admira 3 - 0
Aug 04, 2006 Red Zac 1. Liga Kapfenberg Admira 1 - 2

Gratkorn have four overs out of five home matches and Admira all four away matches over. Gratkorn plays on arteficial grass, which causes problems to many teams. Admira scores almost every time, it happened only twice so far, that they havent score, so I think an over is very possible.

GL






Fiorentina - Parma    +4.24
Wednesday, September 20th, 2006 13:30
Football - Italy
Pick:  Fiorentina   Result: 1-0
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  1.53  Verified odd Bookmaker:  CENTREBET   vCash: Yes
Posted: Sep 19, 2006, 23:13











Tuesday, September 19th, 2006 12:00
Football - Austria
Pick:  Kärnten   Result: 4-1
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  1.86  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: Yes
Posted: Sep 19, 2006, 07:24






Kärnten lost another away match, this time in Parndorf (0-1). And this is good for my pick. The coach Richard Huber was realy mad after another bad performance away: " Playing this way it´s impossible to earn some points. This was an awful performance. Some players have to improve a lot. We can´t afford to play like this!" (from www.fckaernten.com). I am sure, tonight they will give their best to avoid another bad result. And at home they are realy hot so far:

Aug 29, 2006 Karnten Kapfenberg 3 - 1
Aug 18, 2006 Karnten Admira 3 - 0
Aug 04, 2006 Karnten Austria Wien (Am.) 3 - 1

Hartberg is new in Red Zac 1. They played four matches away:

Sep 08, 2006 Kapfenberg Hartberg 1 - 1
Aug 25, 2006 Admira Hartberg 4 - 0
Aug 11, 2006 Austria Wien (Am.) Hartberg 0 - 1
Aug 01, 2006 Leoben Hartberg 4 - 1

They grabbed a win at Austria (A) and a point at strugling Kapfenberg, and lost heavily in Leoben and Admira. Now they got some injury problems, and it will be very hard for them to play against homestrong Kärnten.

GL






Thursday, September 14th, 2006 14:00
Football - Europa League
Pick:  Sevilla   Result: 1-2
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  1.74  Verified odd Bookmaker:     vCash: Yes
Posted: Sep 14, 2006, 03:21






Sevilla is defending the UEFA cup title. They had great start into the new season, they won the European Supercup vs Barca 3-0, then they smashed Levante and Real Sociedad in Primera:

2006-09-10 Real Sociedad-Sevilla 1-3
2006-08-29 Sevilla-Levante 4-0

Sevilla has some injury troubles (from UEFA.com):

Sevilla FC will be without injured Brazilian striker Luis Fabiano and also without without the injured Javi Navarro (pulled muscle), Enzo Maresca (left Achilles tendon), who scored twice in the final, and Ernesto Chevantón (back) while Adriano Correia has not travelled with the squad.

Chevanton missed allready the last match against Sociedad, but

Atromitos has so far no records in european club competitions. They played three matches in home competition:

2006-09-09 Atromitos-AEK Athens 1-1
2006-08-27 Larisa-Atromitos 2-1
2006-08-20 Atromitos-OFI Crete 2-2

No matter the injury problems, I think Sevilla has much better squad and they can beat the unexperienced hosts with 2 goals difference.


Luis Fabiano will miss tonights match through injury.






Sunday, September 03rd, 2006 09:00
Football - Scotland
Pick:  Greenock Morton   Result: 4-0
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.83  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: Yes
Posted: Sep 03, 2006, 01:46




Greenock are leaders after four fixtures in Scotish Second. They surprisly lost two points in second fixture at home to Ayr, but then they won next two matches. So far they didn´t get any single goal, and I think they won´t get in today too.

Team news (from BBC Sport):

Morton manager Jim McInally will be hoping loan star Paul McGowan can once again shake off his hamstring trouble.

David Macgregor has been ruled out for at least six weeks with a torn muscle.

Kieran McAnespie and Fraser Forrest are both back in contention for Alloa.

But manager Allan Maitland is still without David McClude, Michael Stuart and Ross Clark.

League results:

Aug 26, 06 Peterhead 0 - 4 Morton
Aug 19, 06 Morton 0 - 0 Ayr Utd
Aug 12, 06 Stranraer 0 - 3 Morton
Aug 5, 06 Morton 2 - 0 Raith Rovers


Aug 26, 06 Alloa 1 - 2 Stirling Albion
Aug 19, 06 Forfar 0 - 2 Alloa
Aug 12, 06 Alloa 1 - 1 Peterhead
Aug 5, 06 Cowdenbeath 6 - 1 Alloa

h2h:
2006-03-18 16:00 Alloa 0 0 Morton
2006-01-21 16:00 Morton 4 1 Alloa
2005-11-12 16:00 Alloa 0 3 Morton
2005-09-17 16:00 Morton 5 2 Alloa
2005-04-16 16:00 Morton 2 0 Alloa
2005-03-23 20:30 Alloa 2 2 Morton

So everything speaks for an home win, and I am sure, that Greenock can win with two goals difference.

GL








Tuesday, August 29th, 2006 12:00
Football - Austria
Pick:  Kärnten FC   Result: 3-1
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  1.89  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: Yes
Posted: Aug 29, 2006, 01:10






Nothing much to say here. Kärnten is clear favourite in the match with the worst team in Red Zac liga. Kapfenberg have 0-0-5 7-17 so far, and I believe, that the home-strong Kärnten (2-0-0 6-1) will attack from the first minute and players like Bubalo, Toth and Bjelica will sure score at laeast twice. Kärnten will play with the same squad as against Lustenau:

FC Kärnten: Probst - Messner, Brack, Sereinig, Prawdab - Bjelica, Strafner, Schellander - Zakany - Bubalo, Toth.

Last matches:

006-08-25 FC Lustenau-FC Karnten 1-3
2006-08-18 FC Karnten-Adm/Modling 3-0
2006-08-11 Gratkorn-FC Karnten 3-0
2006-08-04 FC Karnten-Austria Wien (A) 3-1
2006-08-01 Linzer ASK-FC Karnten 2-1

2006-08-25 Kapfenberg-Schwanenstadt 0-2
2006-08-18 Parndorf-Kapfenberg 3-1
2006-08-11 FC Lustenau-Kapfenberg 5-4
2006-08-04 Kapfenberg-Adm/Modling 1-2
2006-08-01 Gratkorn-Kapfenberg 5-1

GL







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73
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+24
profit
+5%
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Win-Loss-Void: 41-29-3 
Win rate: 59% 
Stake avg.: 7.1 
Odd avg.: 1.8 
Staked: 495.00 
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